Earth Impact Effects Program

Robert Marcus, H. Jay Melosh, and Gareth Collins

Please note: the results below are estimates based on current (limited) understanding of the impact process and come with large uncertainties; they should be used with caution, particularly in the case of peculiar input parameters. All values are given to three significant figures but this does not reflect the precision of the estimate. For more information about the uncertainty associated with our calculations and a full discussion of this program, please refer to this article

Your Inputs:

Distance from Impact: 100.00 km ( = 62.10 miles )
Projectile diameter: 500.00 meters ( = 1640.00 feet )
Projectile Density: 3000 kg/m3
Impact Velocity: 4.00 km per second ( = 2.48 miles per second )
Impact Angle: 45 degrees
Target Density: 3000 kg/m3
Target Type: Crystalline Rock

Energy:

Energy before atmospheric entry: 1.57 x 1018 Joules = 3.75 x 102 MegaTons TNT
The average interval between impacts of this size somewhere on Earth during the last 4 billion years is 1.4 x 105years

Major Global Changes:

The Earth is not strongly disturbed by the impact and loses negligible mass.
The impact does not make a noticeable change in the tilt of Earth's axis (< 5 hundreths of a degree).
The impact does not shift the Earth's orbit noticeably.

Atmospheric Entry:

The projectile begins to breakup at an altitude of 30900 meters = 101000 ft
The projectile reaches the ground in a broken condition. The mass of projectile strikes the surface at velocity 3.94 km/s = 2.44 miles/s
The impact energy is 1.52 x 1018 Joules = 3.63 x 102MegaTons.
The broken projectile fragments strike the ground in an ellipse of dimension 1 km by 0.707 km

Crater Dimensions:

What does this mean?


Crater shape is normal in spite of atmospheric crushing; fragments are not significantly dispersed.

Transient Crater Diameter: 3.05 km ( = 1.89 miles )
Transient Crater Depth: 1.08 km ( = 0.669 miles )

Final Crater Diameter: 3.54 km ( = 2.2 miles )
Final Crater Depth: 433 meters ( = 1420 feet )
The crater formed is a complex crater.
At this impact velocity ( < 12 km/s), little shock melting of the target occurs.

Thermal Radiation:

What does this mean?


At this impact velocity ( < 15 km/s), little vaporization occurs; no fireball is created, therefore, there is no thermal radiation damage.

Seismic Effects:

What does this mean?


The major seismic shaking will arrive approximately 20 seconds after impact.
Richter Scale Magnitude: 6.3
Mercalli Scale Intensity at a distance of 100 km:


Ejecta:

What does this mean?


The ejecta will arrive approximately 2.4 minutes after the impact.
At your position there is a fine dusting of ejecta with occasional larger fragments
Average Ejecta Thickness: 768 microns ( = 30.3 thousandths of an inch )
Mean Fragment Diameter: 2.17 cm ( = 0.853 inches )

Air Blast:

What does this mean?


The air blast will arrive approximately 5.05 minutes after impact.
Peak Overpressure: 5380 Pa = 0.0538 bars = 0.764 psi
Max wind velocity: 12.4 m/s = 27.7 mph
Sound Intensity: 75 dB (Loud as heavy traffic)
Damage Description:


Tell me more...

Click here for a pdf document that details the observations, assumptions, and equations upon which this program is based. It describes our approach to quantifying the important impact processes that might affect the people, buildings, and landscape in the vicinity of an impact event and discusses the uncertainty in our predictions. The processes included are: atmospheric entry, impact crater formation, fireball expansion and thermal radiation, ejecta deposition, seismic shaking, and the propagation of the atmospheric blast wave.






Earth Impact Effects Program Copyright 2004, Robert Marcus, H.J. Melosh, and G.S. Collins
These results come with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY